These Wild Card teams almost always cover 💸

Plus: Wild Card picks, week 18 memes, and more

It's finally playoff football and time to put up or shut up.

Does Brady get another ring to replace the one he lost during his divorce? Does Pat Mahomes add another MVP AND another Super Bowl? Or do Jalen Hurts and the Eagles run the table?

We'll have answers soon enough. On Saturday we get to see TWO of the top 5 teams in covering the spread this season with the Chargers (11-5-1 ATS) and 49ers (11-6-0 ATS).

🌊 Seahawks vs 49ers ⛏️

Seattle Seahawks quarterback Geno Smith tries to stiff arm San Francisco 49ers safety Talanoa Hufanga in a previous meeting. Seattle lost to San Francisco twice this season.

Jennifer Buchanan / The Seattle Times

These teams just played each other on December 15th, with San Francisco beating Seattle 21-13. That game, like this one, will be the Niner's run game against Geno Smith in the pocket.

The success that San Francisco has on the ground only opens up the pass game for them. We saw that with two touchdowns from George Kittle the last time these teams faced each other.

  • The Seahawks rank 30th in rushing yards against

  • The 49ers are the 2nd best rushing team in the NFL

  • The 49ers are a top 6 offense and no. 1 defense

  • The Seahawks are ranked 25th on offense

What an absolute disaster of a situation. There's just no way Seattle will be able to keep up. The Seahawks are also 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games (ICE COLD 🥶).

I take San Francisco dominating on the ground every time.

➡️ 49ers -9.5

⚡️ Chargers vs Jaguars 🐆

Los Angeles Chargers quarterback Justin Herbert threw three touchdown passes and ran for another score during the Chargers' 39-29 win over the Jacksonville Jaguars on Sunday

AP Photo/Alex Gallardo

Justin Herbert should feast on this weak secondary of the Jaguars.

  • The biggest discrepancy in this matchup is the Chargers passing attack (3rd in the NFL in passing yards per game), against a defense that ranks 28th in passing yards allowed.

Although the Chargers had a softer schedule, it's still worth noting in their last 5 games,

  • They've given up 51% less points

  • They allowed 31% less passing yards

  • And they're 4-0-1 ATS over that stretch

It's Herbert's time to shine, Trevor Lawrence is just going to have to wait until next year.

➡️ Chargers ML

🐬 Dolphins vs Bills 🦬

Dolphins vs Bills, Super Wild Card Weekend

Jasen Vinlove/USA TODAY Sports

The rubber match for these two teams is Sunday. Miami took the dub in their first matchup this season winning 21-19 in September, but took the L just a few weeks ago losing 32-29.

Buffalo's defense gives up 30% less points than the league average and ranks

  • 2nd in points allowed

  • 6th in net yards allowed

  • 5th in rushing yards allowed

  • 2nd in Red Zone %

Oh, and the Bills are the 2nd best scoring offense. Too much firepower here.

Plus, Tua will not be playing this game. Neither will Teddy Bridgewater. So with Skylar Thompson expected to start, they will not be winning. Pretty simple.

If Miami had a slightly better defense I'd consider them to cover, but only one other team in football gets thrown on them more than the Dolphins. Allen is gonna feast.

➡️ Bills -9

🐦 Ravens vs Bengals 🐅

Quarterback Joe Burrow #9 of the Cincinnati Bengals gets off a pass while being hit by linebacker Justin Houston #50 of the Baltimore Ravens at M&T Bank Stadium on October 24, 2021 in Baltimore, Maryland

Rob Carr/Getty Images

The Bengals outperform the Ravens in just about every offensive statistical category besides rushing yards, so I won't even get into listing them.

Here's all you gotta know:

  • Lamar most likely isn't playing

  • The Bengals are a top 2 team in covering the spread this season

The Ravens have scored 58% less points over their last 5 games. That is outrageous. They cannot find the end zone. There's only one way to go in this one.

➡️ Bengals -7

💰 ML PARLAY:

➡️ 49ers, Bills, Bengals (-124)

🏈 NFL Roundup:

NFL Twitter reacts to Skylar Thompson starting vs the Bills
NFL fans react to the Lions eliminating Packers from Playoffs
Cowboys and Eagles fighting for the 1 seed
Urban Meyer watching the Jags make the playoffs
  • 📉 The worst NFL teams against the spread this season

  • 📈 The best NFL teams against the spread this season

  • 🏈 Way too early 2023 College Football Championship Odds

  • 🤑 $10 million in free bets if Gronk makes a field goal?!

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