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- The matchup we’ve all been waiting for 👏
The matchup we’ve all been waiting for 👏
Plus the TNF matchup no one wanted, week 6 lines, and more!
Sheffield Shuffler
October 13, 2022
In Today's Rundown:
Recap of an ugly TNF matchup 🔄
Ravens pass game vs. Giants run game 🏃
Mahomes or Allen? You can only choose one 🤔
Quick Hits: Power plays, joining the mafia, and more!
Nothing like kicking off Week 6 with the JV teams of the NFL...
TNF was just horrible. For starters, there were 51 drives with just 1 touchdown. Tragic.
But I mean, both teams rank 26th and 28th in points scored so what were we really expecting.
It wasn’t a pretty performance but at least Carson Wentz and the Commanders got back into the win column. They were starting to forget what winning felt like after 4 straight L’s.
One thing is for certain, Ron Rivera has had enough. Coach was clearly fired up post game, defending the players, their play, and above all, his choice of Wentz as QB.
On the Bears side, it was frustrating enough for Justin Fields especially after re-injuring his left shoulder trying to carry the offense.
Ugly night for both sides. On a scale of 1-10 it was 🤮
Evan Habeeb / USA TODAY Sports
This Ravens vs. Giants matchup is gonna be quite an interesting one.
It’s all about the Ravens pass game vs. Giants run game. The Ravens are ranked 25th in pass completions but that’ll be up against the Giants defense who rank #1 in opponent pass completions and #8 in opponent passing yards per game.
When it comes to offense, Baltimore does have an edge over the Giants, averaging 27 points per game compared to the Giants who score 13 per game. Baltimore also outshines New York in net yards: 432 vs. 269.
Both teams know how to run the ball too with Ravens 7th in the league in rushing yards and Giants ranked 2nd. Saquon has helped them be dominant on the ground with him averaging 51% more rushing yards than league average.
As a team, the Giants have covered the spread 4 out of the 5 games so I'm gonna take the point with the Giants here.
The Line (via PointsBet): Ravens -6 (-105) O/U 44.5 (-107 both ways) Ravens ML -240, Giants ML +190
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Thearon W. Henderson / Getty Images
There were a few quality contests last Sunday, with a couple teams announcing themselves as conference contenders. Here are the teams that showed out the most:
Falcons have been quite the bettors' delight this season. They’ve covered 5/5 games.
Just looking at head-to-head over the past 2 seasons, the 49ers offense blows the Falcons out of the water. They average 31 points per game compared to Atlanta's 13.
That's 138% more points. Yeah, not too great.
On defense, San Fran out shines Atlanta by a lot too. They only give up less than 13 points per game. So I'm gonna go ahead and say Atlanta's ATS streak ends this week, and lay the points with the 49ers.
The Line (via PointsBet): 49ers -5.5 (-110) O/U 44.5 (-105/-110) 49ers -240, Falcons +200
Denny Medley / USA TODAY Sports
Bills vs Chiefs, Josh Allen vs Pat Mahomes…the one we’ve all been waiting for! The last time we saw these two was in the NFC Conference Championship.
In the last two seasons, the Chiefs are up on the Bills 2 games to 1. Both of these teams are 4-1 and not to mention the top 5 best teams in the NFL.
Let’s take a second to look at the Bills rankings this season, shall we? They’re 2nd in points, 4th in scoring percentage, 1st in net yards, 1st in passing yards, 4th in passing completions, 2nd in passing touchdowns, and 2nd in total yards.
An absolute juggernaut of an offense.
The Chiefs defense is not stopping teams from scoring either. No other team has more pass completions against them, only 1 other team has more passing touchdowns against them.
It’s clear this Bills offense is going to get whatever they want out of this Chiefs defense. They rank 23rd in points allowed.
On the other hand, let's check out the Chiefs rankings: 1st in points, 2nd in scoring percentage, 4th in passing yards, and 1st in passing touchdowns.
We see the biggest discrepancy here is the Bills defense. Nobody in the league gets scored on less than the Bills. They are giving up 79% less points than league average.
I'll lay the 2.5 with the Bills.
The Line (via PointsBet): Bills -2.5 (-107) O/U 54 (-105/-110) Bills ML -135, Chiefs +115
