Welcome to Week 16 of the NFL! We got games tonight, Christmas Eve, Christmas Day, and the day after Christmas... what more could you ask for?!

Here are the games I'm putting my money on this week...

🐆 Jaguars vs Jets ✈️

I see two teams going in very different directions here.

• With Zach Wilson at the helm, the Jets have scored 29 points in 2 weeks

• Trevor Lawrence is rolling now, he threw 3 TD passes to Zay Jones alone last week and beat a supposed tough Dallas defense

Just look at these stats:

• Jacksonville totaled 38% less rushing yards in L5 games

• Jacksonville conceded 20% more rushing yards in L5 games

• Jets are a top 5 defense in points given up

I'll put my money on Lawrence against a tough D vs Wilson against an easy D.  

➡️ Give me the Jags on the Moneyline

🦬 Bills vs Bears 🐻

If Buffalo can stop what Chicago does best, which is running the ball, this should be a blowout.

• Buffalo has a top 6 rushing defense that should neutralize this very one dimensional Bears team

• Buffalo has no problem scoring, they're a top 4 scoring team while the Bears are a bottom 3 team in points allowed

• There's no chance the Bears play back-to-back good games on defense

Plus there's this:

• Chicago totals 54% more rushing yards than the league average

• Buffalo scores 25% more points than the league average

• Bills are a top 4 scoring offense

• Chicago is a bottom 3 team in points allowed

• Bills have a 5 game win streak, Bears have a 5 game losing streak

➡️ I got Bills vs Bears Under 40

🐅 Bengals vs Patriots 🏈

Now here's a top 5 offense going against a top 8 defense at the end of December in Foxborough. Points come at a premium for this game.

• We got a good passing team against a good pass defense

• Both teams are going to look to limit mistakes by leaning on the run game

• Bengals have hit the under in 9 games, Pats have hit the under in 8 games

Not to mention:

• Bengals are top 5 in scoring; Pats are top 8 team in points allowed

• Bengals are top 6 in passing attack; Pats are top 9 passing in yards allowed

• Bengals are 9-3 ATS as a favorite; Pats are 1-6 ATS as underdogs

➡️ Bengals vs Patriots Under 41.5

🧀 Packers vs Dolphins 🐬

Packers beat the Rams and Bears the past two weeks for two of the most unimpressive wins of the season. Meanwhile, the Dolphins are on a 3-game losing streak against the 49ers, Chargers and Bills.

• This is a get right spot for Miami, especially playing in sunny, warm Florida

• Green Bay is a bottom 4 rushing defense, giving up almost 200 yards on the ground in their L3 games

• I see Miami running all over this piss poor run defense which will open the pass and make it really easy on Tua

Don't believe me yet? Check this out:

• Green Bay scored 30% more points in their last 5 games

• Miami is top 9 in scoring; Green Bay is 15th in points allowed

• Green Bay can stop the pass, ranked 1st in pass completions against

  • They can't stop the run, ranked 29th in rushing yards against

• Miami is 6-2 ATS as a favorite while Green Bay is 2-3 as an underdog

➡️ I'm going Dolphins -3

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🤑 Props of the Week

Mac Jones U1.5 Passing TD

• Hit in 10/11 games (90.9%)

• Going against the Bengals, 5th best ranked defense

Andy Dalton O152.5 Passing Yards

• Hit in 10/11 games (90.9%)

• Going against the Browns, 23rd ranked defense

Zonovan Knight O57.5 Rushing Yards

• Hit in 3/4 games (75%)

• Going against the Jaguars, 22nd ranked defense

• Jax gave up 130 rushing yards in the last 3 games

😜 Week 16 Preview in Memes:

NFL fans react to Nick Foles being named the starting QB for the Colts:

NFL fans react to Gardner Minshew starting as QB against the Cowboys:

• 🏓 Pat Mahomes is one of us

• 🥺 Stefon Diggs spreading holiday cheer

• 🤔 Agree or disagree with this guy?

• 🏈 At least I got 3 other leagues

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