๐Ÿˆ Drama in the Divisional Round

Plus: How No. 1 seeds cover, Wild Card memes, and more

Boy, did Wild Card weekend get WILD!

  • Everyone wrote off the Jaguars in the first half, but they aint write back!

  • The Bills squeak out a win against a 3rd string QB.

  • The Bengals celebrate a game they couldโ€™ve lost on a Hail Mary.

  • Will the divisional round have as much drama though?

Fun Fact: Since 2003, No. 1 seeds in the divisional round have gone 13-25-1 (34%) ATS

๐Ÿ† Jaguars vs Chiefs ๐Ÿน

First-ever postseason matchup between the Kansas City Chiefs and Jacksonville Jaguars

David Eulitt/Getty Images

Last week T-Law threw 4 picks in the first half of the game vs the Chargers and then stormed back in the second half to secure a HUGE win.

That would NEVER happen to Andy Reid and the Chiefs. If Lawrence makes half as many mistakes as he did in that game, Mahomes will absolutely bury him.

Plus, the Chiefs rush defense is a top 10 unit that can really make the Jags one dimensional, forcing Lawrence to throw more than he'd like.

When the Jags are spotted 9 points, they cover 88.2% of the time (15/17 games).

โžก๏ธ Jaguars +9

๐ŸŽ Giants vs Eagles ๐Ÿฆ…

NFL Playoffs, Giants vs Eagles

Tim Nwachukwu/Getty Images

It's basically another bye week for the Eagles as they face the Giants on Saturday. The Giants really have no business being in this position.

  • The Eagles are scoring almost 30% more than league average.

  • They rank 5th in rushing yards and 3rd in net yards.

  • That Philly defense is ranked #1 in passing yards against and #2 in net yards against.

  • Only four other teams get more TD's thrown on them than the Giants.

  • And nobody is scoring more rushing TDโ€™s than the Eagles.

With another week to rest Jalen Hurts and Lane Johnson, the Eagles will establish that they own the NFC East and will play for the NFC Championship next round.

But the Giants are still one of the best teams at covering the spread, so I'm taking them to cover.

โžก๏ธ Giants +7.5

๐Ÿ… Bengals vs Bills ๐Ÿฆฌ

AFC Divisional Round matchup between Bengals and Bills

Sam Greene / USA TODAY NETWORK

Ah, the matchup we've all been waiting for. We saw less than a quarter of play the last time these two teams met due to the horrific Damar Hamlin injury.

In that short time of play, we saw Joe Burrow and the Bengals drive with ease against the Bills. If that game wasn't stopped, I think the Bengals would've won.

Then there's last week's Wild Card game where the Bills barely squeaked out a win against a third string QB and the Dolphins. I've spoken so highly of the Bills defense all season and recently, they have not backed it up.

  • The Bills have given up 21% more points in their L5 games.

  • The Bengals have given up just over 16 PPG in their L5 games.

The Bengals have stiffened up on defense, while the Bills are trending the opposite way.

It feels like the Bills have America's support since the incident with Damar, but I do like the points with Cincy here.

โžก๏ธ Bengals +5.5

๐Ÿค  Cowboys vs 49ers โ›๏ธ

Cowboys vs 49ers, NFC Divisional Round 2023

AP Photo/Ron Jenkins

The San Francisco defense has been rock solid for this team, but over the last 5 games, their offense has been SURGING with Brock Purdy behind center.

  • The 49ers are averaging nearly 35 PPG in their L5 games.

  • The 49ers are 7-2 ATS at home this season.

  • The Cowboys are 4-4 ATS on the road this season.

I just don't know if Dallas can keep up with that offense. We really haven't seen it from the Cowboys since the 90's.

I'm rolling with San Francisco here... the second best team in the NFL.

โžก๏ธ 49ers -3.5

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โžก๏ธ Jaguars +15.5 / Giants +14.5 / Bengals +12.5 / Cowboys +10.5 (+260)

๐Ÿˆ NFL Playoffs in memes:

Boston Scott, Giant killer
Mike McDaniel when the play clock is running down
Chargers ownership to Brandon Staley after choking to Jags in Wild Card Round
Brett Maher missing 4 extra points in a row
DK Metcalf after loss to 49ers
  • ๐Ÿ˜ฌ Yup, he did it again

  • ๐Ÿš€ Launch it bro

  • โšก๏ธJust when you think the Chargers have changed

  • ๐Ÿ˜… They did not have to take it there

  • ๐Ÿ† The only way to celebrate a fantasy victory

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